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Yankees Hot Stove: A look ahead at the 2014/2015 MLB free agent class for pitchers

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The Yankees haven't spent much on pitching this off-season. Could they be waiting on a better stocked market next year?

In sharp contrast to their $260 million spending spree on position players this fall, the Yankees have been oddly quiet when it comes to pitching. Outside of re-upping Hiroki Kuroda for a year and bringing on reliever Matt Thornton for two, they've done nothing to address a staff that lost Andy Pettitte and Mariano Rivera to retirement. Reports say they'll be in on Masahiro Tanaka if and when he's posted, but Major League starters like Matt Garza, Ervin Santana and Ubaldo Jimenez along with bullpen hurlers Grant Balfour and Joe Nathan have managed to eschew the team's radar.

A look at next year's free agent class for pitchers could explain the Yankees' reluctance to commit big dollars this time around. Though trades, injuries and extensions can rearrange things in a hurry, it looks for now like 2014-2015 will be a market ripe with front line pitching talent.

Starters

PlayerAge (in 2015)2013 fWARContract Notes
Brett Anderson270.3$12.5 million club option for 2015
Homer Bailey293.7
Josh Beckett35-0.1
Chad Billingsley300.0$14 million club option for 2015
Joe Blanton34-0.4$8 million club option for 2015
Wei-Yin Chen292.0$4.75 million club option for 2015
Kevin Correia341.3
Johnny Cueto290.6$10 million club option for 2015
Jorge De La Rosa342.9
Ryan Dempster381.3
Yovani Gallardo291.7$13 million club option for 2015
J.A. Happ321.2$6.7 million club option for 2015
Dan Haren341.5$10 million player option for 2015 with 180 IP in 2014
Roberto Hernandez340.2
Hisashi Iwakuma344.2$7 million club option for 2015
Josh Johnson310.5
Kyle Kendrick301.7
Clayton Kershaw<--- !!! :-D276.5
Jon Lester314.3
Colby Lewis35DNP
Justin Masterson303.4
Brandon McCarthy311.8
Brandon Morrow30-0.1$10 million club option for 2015
Jeff Niemann320.8
Ross Ohlendorf320.3
Felipe Paulino34DNP$4 million club option for 2015
Jake Peavy342.4
Wandy Rodriguez360.2
Max Scherzer306.4
James Shields334.5
Carlos Villanueva311.0
Ryan Vogelsong37-0.6
Edinson Volquez300.4

Among next year's free agent starters, we see a few team options are likely to be exercised. Iwakuma's staying in Seattle, Gallardo will be picked up, at least to be traded, and Cueto, if he can return to good health will be a Red in 2015. We can hope and dream and beg and plead, but It's too early to think seriously about the Yankees' chances at Kershaw. He's in a good situation in Los Angeles, and it's hard to believe that the Dodgers won't make him baseball's first $30 million per year man before he has the chance to talk to anyone else.

Even behind Kershaw, though, there's still a ton of quality to be had. The American League's reigning Cy Young winner, Scherzer is a Scott Boras client and seems likely to test the market rather than extend with Detroit. Boston's never been particularly good at holding onto their guys once they go free agent, which puts Lester squarely in play. Behind those three there's a very healthy second tier which includes the likes of Shields, Masterson and Bailey. If they don't land Tanaka this year, or even if they do, there will be plenty of good opportunities for the Yankees to part with their money next winter.

Righty Relievers

PlayerAge (in 2015)2013 fWARContract Notes
Mike Adams36-0.4$6 million club option for 2015
Burke Badenhop320.3
Ronald Belisario320.0
Matt Belisle321.4
Heath Bell370.0
Jared Burton340.9$3.6 million club option for 2015
Joba Chamberlain29-0.6
Jason Frasor380.8
Kyuji Fujikawa340.2$5.5 million club option for 2015
Luke Gregerson311.0
Jason Grilli381.5
LaTroy Hawkins420.8$2.25 million club option for 2015
Luke Hochevar311.2
Casey Janssen331.3
Matt Lindstrom351.0
Dustin McGowan320.2$4 million club option for 2015
Jason Motte330.9
Peter Moylan36-0.4
Darren O'Day320.7$4.25 million club option for 2015
Juan Carlos Oviedo33DNP
Joel Peralta390.6$2.5 million club option for 2015
J.J. Putz380.1
David Robertson301.6
Sergio Romo321.1
Joakim Soria300.2$7 million club option for 2015
Rafael Soriano350.5$14 million club option for 2015 vests with 62 GF in 2014
Huston Street31-0.1$7 million club option for 2015
Koji Uehara403.3
Brian Wilson330.4$9 million club option for 2015
Brad Ziegler350.6

The most important thing to note about 2014-2015's right-handed reliever class is that David Robertson is the second youngest member of it and also the second best according to his 2013 fWAR. The Yankees should be working on re-signing their hopeful future closer right now. While most teams prefer not to spend huge on bullpen arms these days, there will be considerable competition for a pitcher of Robertson's caliber and consistency.

Behind Robertson, Belisle, Gregerson and Hochevar would all be solid setup choices if the Yankees can't lock down the seventh and eighth with internal options this year.

Lefty Relievers

PlayerAge (in 2015)2013 fWARContract Notes
Craig Breslow340.7$4 million club option for 2015
Sean Burnett32-0.1$4.5 million club option for 2015 vests with 97 G in 2014
Phil Coke320.1
Tom Gorzelanny320.6
Andrew Miller300.4
Franklin Morales290.1
Joe Thatcher330.2

Quality on next year's LOOGY market is virtually non-existent with Breslow's option a possibility to be exercised if he repeats his 2013 performance. Burnett pitched just 13 games this year and the rest of the group lingers in varying stages of mediocrity. The Yankees have already committed to pay Thornton $3.5 million in 2015 so they're unlikely to shop for another bullpen lefty, especially if Cesar Cabral, Vidal Nuno or Francisco Rondon is able to step up before then.


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