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Are the Giants a modern-day baseball dynasty?

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It's difficult to reach the World Series, let alone do it in three out of five seasons like the Giants have. How does their five-year streak stack up in baseball history?

When the term "dynasty" is used, certain teams come immediately to mind -- the Yankees, the 1970s Steelers, the Bulls during the Michael Jordan era. All shared a very common thread, the ability to not just reach the finals in their respective sports but to win, and to do so in consecutive years. As leagues grew in size and free agency made it more difficult to keep teams together, it's not as easy.

As long as sports exist, there will be people who use the word dynasty whenever a team makes the playoffs two years in a row. Having written that, by reaching the World Series for the third time in five years, the Giants have entered into the discussion. It's a curious team to add into the mix -- consider their past five "dynastic" years:

YearWLPO
20109270Won World Series
20118676
20129468Won World Series
20137686
20148874In World Series

Not exactly the Murderer's Row Yankees teams, but they did it in a period far different than teams even 40 years ago had to face.

There are ways to determine dynasties, and Bill James developed one in the New Historical Baseball Abstract (pp229-232). These are his criteria:

Finishing over .5001 pt
Winning 90 games2 pt
Winning 100 games3 pt
Winning division4 pt
Winning pennant5 pt
Winning World Series6 pt*

*To receive 6 points a team needs to win the Series and win 100+ games, otherwise they receive five points

I made some slight modifications. For example, I changed 90 and 100 wins to win percent, since it's easier to win 90 games in a 162-game season as opposed to a 154-game one, which also smooths out strike years. I also made the Wild Card equivalent to winning the division, a minor difference for the three years it's been in existence. If we're looking at 5-year time spans, obviously the maximum points that can be earned is 30. This table shows the most dominant teams:

TeamYearsPts
Yankees1949-195329
Yankees1947-195126
Yankees1937-194126
Yankees1936-194026
Yankees1935-193926
Cardinals1942-194625
Athletics1910-191425
Cubs1906-191025
Braves1995-199924
Reds1972-197623
Yankees1960-196423
Dodgers1952-195623
Yankees1950-195423
Athletics1909-191323

The 1949-1953 Yankees won the World Series every year and missed the .617 win percentage by one win in 1952. Using James' formula they earned 25 points, since they never won 100+ games in that span --  mine gives them 29.

Using the James criteria the Giants from 2010-2014 earned . . . 16 points, regardless of whether they win this year's Series. With more playoff slots, the strict wins-to-postseason relationship isn't as linear, since all teams need to do is win around 88 games and they'll make the Wild Card. So I made two adjustments -- I only went back to 1969 to reflect the expansion of the playoffs and awarded points solely on the basis on how far in the playoffs a team advanced:

Losing Wild Card2 pts
Losing Division Series3 pts
Losing League Championship Series4 pts
Winning pennant5 pts
Winning World Series6 pts

"Just win, baby" -- in baseball it's as true as anything. Who remembers who won the most games in the regular season? Conversely, who remembers how many games the World Series winner won in the regular season? The 2006 Cardinals won 83 games and still have a World Series trophy in their possession.

These are the new "dynasties":

TeamYearsPts
Yankees1996-200027
Yankees1998-200226
Yankees1997-200126
Athletics1971-197526
Yankees1999-200325
Braves1995-199924
Yankees1995-199924
Yankees2000-200423
Athletics1972-197622
Athletics1970-197422
Braves1996-200021
Reds1972-197621
Yankees1977-198121
Yankees1976-198021
Phillies2007-201121
Braves1997-200120
Braves1992-199620
Braves1991-199520
Orioles1969-197320
Indians1995-199920
Yankees2001-200520
Athletics1988-199220
Blue Jays1989-199320

Still no Giants, since even if they win this year's Series they'll still only have 18 points. In addition, as the other teams are reviewed, it's easy to identify the Hall of Fame-caliber players, plus there was an element of stability in their lineups. The Giants have nine players still left from 2010, of which only three (Madison Bumgarner, Buster Posey and Pablo Sandoval) are making regular contributions. There are very good players on the Giants roster, but Hall of Fame -- it's a little early to be making the case for anyone.

I'll make more data available in this Google Docs spreadsheet, which shows the best and worst five-years stretches for every team and much, much more. Dig into it and see how your favorite teams have performed over time -- not every team can be the Yankees. Are the Giants an even-year phenomenon? Check. Dynasty? I'll do my best to defend the language and say, not so fast.

All data from Baseball-Reference. Any mistakes in compiling or amalgamating the data are the author's.

Scott Lindholm lives in Davenport, IA. Follow him on Twitter @ScottLindholm.


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